Updated - Results:4W-4L-2D. Wishing the best for Damar Hamlin and everyone involved!
NFL betting picks and expected spreads/totals for Week 17. Expected spreads in which the model has found over two points of expected value on the real spread are bet. If not, then it is a pass. Expected totals in which the model has found over five points of expected value on the real total are bet. If not, then it is a pass. Read the notes section in the table to help guide betting decisions.
Best value based on simulation spread bet: MIN +3.5
Best value based on simulation total bet: CAR vs. TB Over 40.5
All bets are 0.2 - 1.0 units.
Bet results will be updated at the end of each NFL week. Find my betting record on the Action Network App. My username is jwright_.