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Writer's pictureJohnathan Wright

NFL Betting Simulations & Picks - Wild Card Round

Updated: Jan 17, 2023


Updated - Results:3W-3L-0D


NFL betting picks and expected spreads/totals for Super Wild Card weekend.


Expected spreads in which the model has found over two points of expected value on the real spread are bet. If not, then it is a pass. Expected totals in which the model has found over five points of expected value on the real total are bet. If not, then it is a pass.


Read the notes section in the table to help guide betting decisions.

Best value based on simulation spread bet: DAL -2.5

Best value based on simulation total bet: MIA vs. BUF Over 43.5

All bets are 0.2 - 1.0 units.


Bet results will be updated at the end of each NFL week. Find my betting record on the Action Network App. My username is jwright_.

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